International Trade Theory
With the rise of outsourcing and globalization, it is tempting to think that such trends can easily be understood with a quick overview of Ricardo, but that is not necessarily the case. The theory of comparative advantage provides a basic framework -- the logic that nations should produce the goods in which they have a comparative advantage, thereby achieving a greater total output -- certainly provides a fairly clean underlying logic for international trade (Boudreaux, 2014).
This paper discusses the rise of outsourcing and international trade theory with respect to the smartphone industry. In just a few short years, this industry has gone through significant structural changes that provide us with different examples of how the theories of international trade are applied in the real world, by people with real money on the line.
International Trade Theory
The interesting thing about international trade theory is that Ricardo's arguments have not undergone particularly rigorous analysis, in particular as Learner and Levinsohn, 1994) argue there has been little empirical evidence processed. They point out that trade data is inherently quite noisy, while makes it more difficult to parse that data for evidence about trade. Technological innovation, the role of trade barriers, exchange rates -- the reality is that any individual business decision is going to be made on the basis of multiple factors, so that comparative advantage is actually difficult to either prove or disprove.
The nations that develop the most advantages are expected to be the ones that flourish most in international trade. For example, Svaleryd & Vlachos (2005) highlight the role that access to capital has played in fostering trade. In the smartphone business, China was able to leverage both its manufacturing capabilities and the access to capital through government-run banks, and via tapping foreign capital pools in Hong Kong, to quickly establish the type of manufacturing advantage that has won it a sizable share of the smartphone business. Indeed, China built its competency in assembling basic cellphones, then extended that over time to component manufacturing and finally today has reached the point where it is a manufacturer of high-tech intermediate goods (Amighini, 2004).
Building on basic international trade theory and comparative advantage is the concept of new trade theory. This theory holds that there are advantages other than comparative advantage. For example, economies of scale are built when a nation has comparative advantage, but even when the comparative advantage is erased, those economies still deliver advantage to justify trade (Lamy, 2010). When China was believed to be in a state of inflation that was going to wipe out its wage advantages in particular, it had already developed supplier networks and manufacturing competencies that allowed it to remain a major player in smartphone manufacturing. It is important, however, not to fall into the fallacy of thinking that just because comparative advantage need not exist means that it never exists -- it is very much relevant still. Even China still has some cost advantages, particular in assembly.
Another element of new trade theory is that multinational firms can seek advantage through differentiation, such as local market specialization, leveraging the reality that most markets are imperfectly competitive (Markusen, 1995). In smartphones, we are only now beginning to see localization in this industry, with low-price phones being launched in the developing world, while global manufacturers focus on the developed world for their most high-end products.
Building on new trade theory is "new trade theory," which takes a look at international trade more through a multinational lens. The trade is not necessarily between nations, but is orchestrated by single multinational company, leveraging the capabilities of other companies, and likely expanding the sourcing of a single product to a dozen or more countries (Kong & Song, 2011). An iPhone has at least 8 major component supplier firms, from a minimum of four countries, not including China where it is assembled and where many of the minor parts might be sourced (Xing, 2011).
Firm heterogeneity is at the heart of modern international trade theory. The data on firm participation in international trade shows that relatively few firms participate in international trade, and those that do tend to already have a certain amount of size and scale from which they derive some sort of advantage over their competitors (Bernard, Jensen, Redding & Schott, 2012). It is these most productive of firms that are better equipped in terms of being able to enter into international...
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